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News And Commentary

Africa needs inclusive trade agreement

Those who participate in the international political discourse increasingly recognise that trade must become more inclusive. The policy-makers behind the momentous African continental free trade area can learn from integration efforts elsewhere in the world, write Jamie Macleod and David Luke.

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China holds 'moral high ground'

China's response to Washington's tariff increase has, to date, been relatively mild, writes Iris Pang. In practice, it is difficult for China to respond with equal measures, since it imports much less from the US than the US does from China. There besides, a mild response means China maintains the moral high ground.

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Turkey headed for debt default

Behind Argentina, Turkey has the dubious distinction of having the world's second worst performing currency. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's mishandling of his country's currency crisis heightens substantially the probability that Turkey will soon default on its external debt, writes Desmond Lachman.

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OMFIF extends US and Asia operations

Patricia Haas Cleveland, a New York banker with wide public and private sector experience, has become president of OMFIF's operations for North America. Melbourne-based Mark Burgess, former managing director of the Australian Future Fund, will become OMFIF's Asia Pacific chairman in July.

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Powell parries inflation questions

Speaking to journalists after the most recent meeting of the FOMC, Fed Chair Powell affirmed his view that the recent dip in inflation was due to 'transitory factors'. He was at pains to dispel the notion gaining ground in markets that the Fed was contemplating a cut in rates, writes Darrell Delamaide.

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'It's still the economy, stupid'

The campaign mantra it's 'the economy, stupid', first coined in 1992 by President Bill Clinton's strategist, James Carville, is still critically important in US electoral politics. If the US economy remains strong between now and November 2020, the Democrats will find it hard to unseat President Donald Trump.

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Fed should focus on winning over public

The Federal Reserve's review of its 'monetary policy strategy, tools and communication practices' offers an opportunity to examine questions surrounding 'independence', writes Mark Sobel. One of the review's goals should be to win over the public, rather than fascinate markets and high priests of monetary policy.

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De Guindos rejects 'national champions'

Luis de Guindos, vice-president of the European Central Bank, rejected 'national champions' in European banking in a wide-ranging OMFIF City Lecture in London. In remarks seen as opposing the now-abandoned link-up between Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank, he said he favoured cross-border mergers.

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Meeting CalendarView All Forthcoming Meetings

Promoted Meeting VIEW PHOTO GALLERY

The 2018 Absa Africa Financial Markets Index launched in Bali alongside the IMF-World Bank Group meetings. In its second year, the index is a premier indicator of the attractiveness of Africa’s capital markets, for use by investors and asset managers around the world.

Why it is important to have female faculty

OMFIF Chart

Why it is important to have female faculty

The distribution of women across academic fields is uneven, and this segregation appears persistent. Economics is no exception. Despite the increase in the number of female economists over the last few decades, women in economics continue to be underrepresented.

Investment Clock – A pivotal October

OMFIF Chart

Investment Clock – A pivotal October

Stock market volatility tends to reach its peak in October, underlined by famous crashes in 1929, 1987 and 2008. Cross-currents in the world economy make this October particularly pivotal, especially in the light of the tug of war between good news out of the US and bad news out of China.

Threat of staglation

OMFIF Chart

Investment Clock: Threat of stagflation

Global growth and inflation figures, in addition to rising commodity prices and interest rates, point to the risk of staglation over the summer months. The geopolitical backdrop, and the threat of a US-China trade war, also has a whiff of stagflation about it.

Bull market has further to run

OMFIF Chart

Investment Clock: Bull market has further to run

The world is experiencing one of the longest economic expansions since records began and there's no end in sight, with muted inflationary pressures keeping interest rates low. Stock markets like this not too hot, not too cold 'Goldilocks' backdrop.

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Universal basic income

Advisory Board

Universal basic income

This month’s poll focuses on universal basic income. Participants were asked: In recent years, the idea of universal basic income has become an increasingly popular point of discussion as a potential means of improving financial inclusion. How viable a solution is this? If not UBI, how best can policy-makers address widening economic inequality?