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News And Commentary

Franco-German questions on Europe

With Britain on its way to leaving the EU, France and Germany are preparing in different fashions and with different expectations for a new European chapter in which the continent's two leading economies must come to terms with each other without the moderation of a third major player, writes David Marsh.

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Gender balance in central banks

One of the oft-cited arguments used to convince organisations to commit to gender diversity is how it benefits decision-making. Anecdotal evidence and views from central bankers highlight the benefits of diversity in helping to reduce the likelihood of 'groupthink', writes Danae Kyriakopoulou.

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Fed running out of monetary ammunition

It is clear that President Donald Trump is not concerned with whether the US will have the resources to fight the next downturn. His quest for ultra-easy monetary policy might cause the economy to overheat. Moreover, it would leave the Fed with scant ammunition to fight the next recession, writes Desmond Lachman.

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Brexit delay may mean end of May

Few predicted that the EU would extend the UK's Article 50 negotiating period by six months, a difficult compromise. Theoretically, that should be long enough to facilitate change. But one major reason to believe October could be too early is that the UK might by then have a new prime minister, writes James Smith.

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Belt and Road delivers crucial capital

China's Belt and Road initiative provides access to capital for connected emerging markets that have not had the necessary investment grade ratings to tap international bond markets. Infrastructure, the core of Belt and Road funding, is and has been the engine of growth for most economies, writes Yaseen Anwar.

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Finance and climate: 'Distant thunder'

World finance needs more data, more disclosure and better risk management to master climate change challenges, the Bank of England's Sarah Breeden told an OMFIF meeting in London focused on 'greening' China's Belt & Road. 'We can hear distant thunder,' she said. 'We cannot wait for the storm to hit.'

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Need for international standards in BRI

Projects under the Chinese Belt and Road initiative have to be specific, well-designed and financeable, as well as fulfilling international standards, according to Baroness (Rona) Fairhead, minister of state at the UK ministry of international trade, at an OMFIF lunch.

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'Submerging markets' pose global threat

Given their relatively small size, the Argentine and Turkish 'submerging markets' cannot by themselves constitute a significant threat to the global economic recovery. The same might not be said of Brazil and Mexico, both of which appear vulnerable to crisis and shaky economic stewardship, writes Desmond Lachman.

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Meeting CalendarView All Forthcoming Meetings

Promoted Meeting VIEW PHOTO GALLERY

The 2018 Absa Africa Financial Markets Index launched in Bali alongside the IMF-World Bank Group meetings. In its second year, the index is a premier indicator of the attractiveness of Africa’s capital markets, for use by investors and asset managers around the world.

Why it is important to have female faculty

OMFIF Chart

Why it is important to have female faculty

The distribution of women across academic fields is uneven, and this segregation appears persistent. Economics is no exception. Despite the increase in the number of female economists over the last few decades, women in economics continue to be underrepresented.

Investment Clock – A pivotal October

OMFIF Chart

Investment Clock – A pivotal October

Stock market volatility tends to reach its peak in October, underlined by famous crashes in 1929, 1987 and 2008. Cross-currents in the world economy make this October particularly pivotal, especially in the light of the tug of war between good news out of the US and bad news out of China.

Threat of staglation

OMFIF Chart

Investment Clock: Threat of stagflation

Global growth and inflation figures, in addition to rising commodity prices and interest rates, point to the risk of staglation over the summer months. The geopolitical backdrop, and the threat of a US-China trade war, also has a whiff of stagflation about it.

Bull market has further to run

OMFIF Chart

Investment Clock: Bull market has further to run

The world is experiencing one of the longest economic expansions since records began and there's no end in sight, with muted inflationary pressures keeping interest rates low. Stock markets like this not too hot, not too cold 'Goldilocks' backdrop.

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Universal basic income

Advisory Board

Universal basic income

This month’s poll focuses on universal basic income. Participants were asked: In recent years, the idea of universal basic income has become an increasingly popular point of discussion as a potential means of improving financial inclusion. How viable a solution is this? If not UBI, how best can policy-makers address widening economic inequality?