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News And Commentary

Proposals for new Brexit statecraft

Following the Salzburg summit, the chances that Britain will exit the European Union without a deal have risen significantly. What is needed now is a totally different statecraft mapping out how this outcome can be turned into a partnership that both parties can accept, writes Joergen Oerstroem Moeller.

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Banks prepared for 'guillotine Brexit'

Given banks' extensive preparations and the assumption that monetary policy-makers will adopt a pragmatic approach to the major potential cliff effects, there is only a slim chance that a 'guillotine Brexit' would lead to chaos in financial markets, writes Stuart Graham.

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Tenreyro speaks on UK economic outlook

Speaking at an OMFIF meeting in London, Silvana Tenreyro, member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee, discussed inflation, the productivity puzzle, and the outlook for the UK economy in the light of an assumed-orderly Brexit and geopolitical developments between the US and China.

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A regulatory approach to fintech

By engaging with market participants at the centre of financial innovation, regulators can stay abreast of the benefits of new technologies and identify risks, writes Christine Lagarde. Developing a forward-looking regulatory framework calls for creativity, flexibility, and new expertise.

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Measuring geopolitics' impact on markets

In the light of the apparent dismantling of the postwar global order, geopolitics seems to be having a prodigious impact on financial markets in 2018. But, as in 'The Count of Monte Cristo', it is hard for investors to know how to react to uncertainty, write Elliot Hentov, Alexander Petrov and Fabrizio Zumbo.

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Managing economic integration in Africa

In March, 44 African nations signed the Kigali Declaration in Rwanda that brings the region one step closer to meaningful integration, writes Max Roch. However, only 30 countries adopted the Free Movement Protocol, which, it is hoped, will lead eventually to the creation of a 'borderless' Africa.

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Overblown rhetoric over UK withdrawal

The rhetorical battle over the best way for Britain to exit the EU has witnessed a ratcheting up of overblown invective from all sides. We have dire technocratic admonitions on the effects of a 'no deal' Brexit. It can be safely presumed that none of these dire predictions will come to pass, writes David Marsh.

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Threat of 'currency bullying'

In July the IMF released its latest assessment of the current account balances of the world's 30 largest economies. Abrupt changes can be expected, particularly in the light of US-led trade wars and bouts of Chinese exchange rate depreciation. Currencies may be subjected to 'currency bullying', writes Otaviano Canuto.

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Meeting CalendarView All Forthcoming Meetings

Promoted Meeting VIEW PHOTO GALLERY

The launch of the fifth annual 'Global Public Investor,' a publication devoted to public sector asset ownership and management around the world. Speakers included Louis de Montpellier of State Street Global Advisors, Joaquim Levy of the World Bank Group and Mario Marcel of the Banco Central do Chile

Threat of staglation

OMFIF Chart

Investment Clock: Threat of stagflation

Global growth and inflation figures, in addition to rising commodity prices and interest rates, point to the risk of staglation over the summer months. The geopolitical backdrop, and the threat of a US-China trade war, also has a whiff of stagflation about it.

Bull market has further to run

OMFIF Chart

Investment Clock: Bull market has further to run

The world is experiencing one of the longest economic expansions since records began and there's no end in sight, with muted inflationary pressures keeping interest rates low. Stock markets like this not too hot, not too cold 'Goldilocks' backdrop.

Global infrastructure finance falls

OMFIF Chart

Global infrastructure finance falls

Global infrastructure financing has fallen short of its potential.Private sector investment and institutional investor capital are often raised as possible solutions for filling the infrastructure funding gap.

Regulatory freedom brings prosperity

OMFIF Chart

Regulatory freedom brings prosperity

Productivity and economic growth continue to disappoint in most countries. Although analysts show a great deal of concern for the so-called 'productivity puzzle', little attention is paid to the real solution: freer markets and increased competition.

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Big tech ‘must not have a regulatory advantage’

Advisory Board

Big tech 'must not have a regulatory advantage'

This month's poll focuses on how best to regulate large technology companies and financial institutions. Participants were asked: 'With companies like Amazon and Google beginning to offer similar services as banks, should 'big tech' be brought under the same regulations?'