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News And Commentary

Cryptocurrencies' rise in Asia

At the same time as their counterparts in Beijing were introducing extensive restrictions on cryptocurrencies and initial coin offerings, Japanese regulators approved 11 exchanges for digital currencies as part of a scheme that some believe positions Japan as one of the world's most cryptocurrency-friendly countries.

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'Real dangers' for international trade

There is room for some confidence on international trade in the light of the progress made on complex agreements. But there are real dangers. A worsening in the relationship between China and the US and the spectre of military conflict could quickly lead to problems for the global economy, writes David Skilling.

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ESM expands into dollar market

Investor appetite for Europe has surged in 2017. With the US and UK facing challenges, Europe has emerged as a safe haven. Non-European investors are interested in increasing their exposure, writes Kalin Anev Janse. The European Stability Mechanism is the only blended euro credit available – now also in dollars.

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Buoyed by disunity

UK Prime Minister Theresa May seems to be battling on all fronts over Britain's EU exit. Yet, beyond her multiple parliamentary and diplomatic battles, she is suspended in Downing Street by an uncanny equilibrium of opposing forces, writes David Marsh. The scale of her adversity keeps May in power.

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Siemens 'backs UK in single market'

In the Brexit debate, the voice of engineering and manufacturing is all but silent, writes Denis Macshane. The BBC should find time for Jürgen Maier, UK chief executive for Siemens, one of Germany's top engineering companies, to make the case against walking out of the single market and customs union.

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Paradise Papers 'reveal lack of reform'

The OECD is leading efforts to confront aggressive tax-planning by multinationals and potentially questionable dealings in offshore financial centres, writes Vicky Pryce. Revelations from the 'Paradise Papers' affair – which follow April 2016's equally revelatory 'Panama Papers' – suggest change is overdue.

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Overcoming ECB politicisation

Leadership of the Federal Reserve, ECB and Bank of England will change in the next two years. The next governors will have a freer hand in unwinding past policies. Nowhere will this be more visible than at the ECB, writes John Nugée. One person worthy of the EU's consideration is Stefan Ingves of the Sveriges Riksbank.

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Merkel 'will make her influence felt'

More agonising will have to be displayed to sate voters' hunger for drama before the next German coalition is approved, writes Michael Stürmer. After that, towards the end of November, Angela Merkel will make her influence felt. The battle cry for the chancellor will be a resounding, 'There is no alternative!'

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Meeting CalendarView All Forthcoming Meetings

Promoted Meeting VIEW PHOTO GALLERY

A lunch discussion with Chuka Umunna, Labour Member of Parliament for Streatham since 2010 and served as Shadow Business Secretary 2011-15. The discussion examined the Brexit negotiation process, the role of parliament, nature of a transition arrangement and the future relationship between UK and Europe.

Regulatory freedom brings prosperity

OMFIF Chart

Regulatory freedom brings prosperity

Productivity and economic growth continue to disappoint in most countries. Although analysts show a great deal of concern for the so-called 'productivity puzzle', little attention is paid to the real solution: freer markets and increased competition.

Bull markets don't die of old age

OMFIF Chart

Investment Clock: Bull markets don't die of old age

Stock prices have been rising for more than eight years, but bull markets don't die of old age. There are few signs of the excessive growth, valuation or financial leverage that usually signal the approach of a bear market. With interest rates below inflation, it is unsurprising that money continues to flow into markets.

Euro area strength and the future of QE

OMFIF Chart

Euro area strength and the future of QE

The ECB's QE programme has played an important role in supporting economic recovery in the euro area. GDP across the currency union grew by 2.2% year-on-year according to the latest data for the second quarter of 2017, unemployment is down, and the threat of deflation has receded.

ECB under-purchasing German bonds

OMFIF Chart

ECB under-purchasing German bonds

Latest figures for July show that, for the fourth month in a row, German bonds bought under the European Central Bank's public sector purchase programme fell short of the amount allowed by the 'capital key' allocation.

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Dangers of cliff-edge EU exit too great

Advisory Board

Dangers of cliff-edge EU exit too great

This month’s advisers network poll focuses on the state of the negotiations between Britain and the European Union on the UK’s exit from the bloc. Members of the network were asked: ‘What is the most likely outcome of the next round of Brexit talks?’