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Real Economy

12 June 2019 / Asia Pacific,North America,Latin America Caribbean,Middle East,Africa,Europe,Global

Global Public Investor launch 2019

Launch of the 6th annual Global Public Investor: sustainability panel discussion

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07 March 2019 / Europe

Promoting gender balance across financial institutions

Gender Balance Index marking International Women’s Day

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12 February 2019 / Latin America

Venezuela's death spiral

Under President Nicolás Maduro, Venezuela has fallen ever further into an economic death spiral. Evidence of this comes from Venezuela's inflation rate, which is running at 139,839% per year. At the same time that Washington declared economic war, Caracas announced it was going to devalue the bolívar in an attempt to allow its value to align with that in the black market. The official bolívar-dollar exchange rate plunged and shot past the black market rate. This realignment carries significant implications.

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06 February 2019 / Global

Hard currencies outlook (Part Two)

In Conversation: Hard currencies outlook (Part Two)

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05 February 2019 / Asia Pacific

May election muddies India's outlook

Conditions are becoming murky in the lead up to India's general election in May. Prime Minister Narendra Modi's popularity is falling, and the losses of his Bharatiya Janata Party in state assembly and other by-elections dim his prospects for a clear win. The government's drive to boost growth has shifted economic policies into an expansionary mode. Last October the RBI moved its policy stance to 'calibrated tightening', citing sustained inflation risks. The events since, especially after the resignation of Governor Urjit Patel, shift the bias towards easing.

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04 February 2019 / Global

Hard currencies outlook (Part One)

In Conversation: Hard currencies outlook (Part One)

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22 January 2019 / Global

Proper perspective on emerging risks

You can hear the bearishness in everyone's voices. They fear a market swoon in a world of unstable politics. Risks are mounting, as indicated by recent data signalling slight economic contractions in Germany and Japan. There is plenty of room for unpleasant surprises, especially from higher debt servicing costs and continuing pressures on some emerging markets. But it is important to keep these risks in proper perspective against a global economy that is slowing, but still very strong, and political tensions that are distracting, but unlikely to trigger recession.

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