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Global Trade

17 July 2018 / Asia Pacific

ESG meeting with the Bank for International Settlements

Growing the market for sustainable finance

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11 June 2018 / Asia Pacific,Europe

Political economy roundtable

Japan-Britain political economy roundtable with Sir Simon McDonald, FCO

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23 May 2018 / Asia Pacific,North America,Latin America Caribbean,Middle East,Africa,Europe

Launch of the fifth annual GPI

Launch of the fifth annual Global Public Investor

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23 May 2018 / UK

Forgoing EU benefits 'act of self-harm'

One of the most puzzling aspects of the arguments over Britain's exit from the European Union is the way that the single market and customs union have been spun as something sinister from which the UK needs to escape so that it can be free to trade with the rest of the world. I was a diplomat for nearly 40 years, writes David Warren, and spent much of that time promoting British trade and attracting foreign investment, particularly from Japan. Membership of the single market and customs union was a magnet for the latter, and no hindrance to the former.

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09 May 2018 / China

The tariff tantrum

Some may say the market's response to US action on Chinese trade has been a little irrational. However, investors are not only reacting to the direct impact of tariffs, but also to the threat of a trade war. Donald Trump has repeatedly cited the rising stock market as proof that his presidency has been successful. Negative market reaction to trade tariffs should moderate the US's approach. As much as protectionist rhetoric may win Trump some support in the mid-term elections, a stock market decline would most likely cost him votes.

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23 April 2018 / Latin America

Mexico is on the cusp of a comeback

On the face of it, things don't look good for Mexico. But the country is potentially on the cusp of a spectacular comeback. Mexico is a manufacturing powerhouse and the ambitious energy reform of 2014 has started bearing fruit. Public finances are doing well and the mood music around a potential US withdrawal from the North American Free Trade Agreement is improving. With respect to the elections, even if populist leader Andrés Manuel López Obrador were to win, his positions are turning firmly mainstream.

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19 April 2018 / Middle East

Lowering barriers to UK-GCC trade

The potential cost to the UK's economic performance and influence from leaving the European Union has made Britain's relations with Gulf countries more important. Prospects for a free trade agreement, a rise in defence spending in Gulf Co-operation Council states and reaffirmed bilateral ties with many GCC countries all underscore the UK's renewed interest in the region. Moreover, the UK's trade links to the Gulf are not subject to any current agreement between the GCC and the EU and will not lapse when Britain leaves the union.

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18 April 2018 / UK

Expect trade rows after Brexit

Before Britain voted to leave the EU, few UK members of parliament or journalists could explain the term 'customs union'. Today's line is that new trade agreements with faraway countries will replace the open access for the British economy to the world's biggest market across the English Channel. Very quickly the issue of trade will start to burn its way into domestic politics, inevitably leading to protectionism and endless ugly quarrels. The first act of the House of Commons after Brexit should be to vote to stay in the EU customs union on a renewable five-year basis.

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09 April 2018 / Asia Pacific,North America,Latin America Caribbean,Middle East,Africa,Europe

The role of ecommerce in global trade

Globalisation series: The role of ecommerce in boosting global trade.

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04 April 2018 / US

US unilateralism revisited

Donald Trump seems to be reverting to his isolationist instincts as the US continues to withdraw from the rules-based system of global trade that it helped build since the second world war. The imposition of tariffs on aluminium and steel imports reflects an increasingly unilateral US approach. The direct effect of these tariffs is unlikely to be significant. But conduct like this weakens the global trading system. If other countries respond with legal actions in WTO tribunals, and judgments are made against the US, the risk of a debilitating trade crisis rises.

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