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Global Trade

25 January 2019 / Asia Pacific,North America,Europe

Trade, China and Brexit: Global Economic Challenges for 2019

A high-level panel discussion on global economic challenges for 2019.

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22 January 2019 / Global

Proper perspective on emerging risks

You can hear the bearishness in everyone's voices. They fear a market swoon in a world of unstable politics. Risks are mounting, as indicated by recent data signalling slight economic contractions in Germany and Japan. There is plenty of room for unpleasant surprises, especially from higher debt servicing costs and continuing pressures on some emerging markets. But it is important to keep these risks in proper perspective against a global economy that is slowing, but still very strong, and political tensions that are distracting, but unlikely to trigger recession.

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07 January 2019 / North America,Global

Fed Talk: 2018 overview and 2019 outlook

Fed Talk: 2018 overview and 2019 outlook

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21 December 2018 / Global

US-China trade war postponed

On the sidelines of the G20 meeting at the beginning of December, US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed to suspend announced tariff increases for 90 days – from 1 January to 1 April 2019 – while undertaking negotiations to avoid a trade war. In the light of the US midterm election results, Trump is turning his attention towards retaining the presidency in 2020. It may be best for him to enter into negotiations with China, play for drama, keep focus on his 'America first' initiative and, ultimately, conclude an agreement.

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19 December 2018 / Global

A year in review: reflections on 2018

A year in review: reflections on 2018 and prospects for 2019

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05 October 2018 / US

End of the 'flat world'

A few years before the 2008 financial crisis, journalist Tom Friedman captured the zeitgeist with his argument that 'the world is flat', that all competitors in the global economy have an equal opportunity to succeed. But if it was once possible to argue that (Western-led) politics and technology were creating a flat world, today they are combining to create a more lumpy, multipolar system. Developments in North America, Europe and the Asia Pacific region point towards the rise of more regionally-ordered trading systems.

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