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Emerging Markets

12 June 2019 / Asia Pacific,North America,Latin America Caribbean,Middle East,Africa,Europe,Global

Global Public Investors and a sustainable world economy

Seminar on sustainability and opportunities for global public investors

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12 June 2019 / Asia Pacific,North America,Latin America Caribbean,Middle East,Africa,Europe,Global

Global Public Investor launch 2019: Global Public Investors and a sustainable world economy

Launch of the 6th annual Global Public Investor: Sustainability panel discussion

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03 May 2019 / Asia Pacific,North America,Latin America Caribbean,Middle East,Africa,Europe,Global

Emerging digital technologies for financial inclusion: Role of central banks

Workshop at the Asian Development Bank annual meeting

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16 April 2019 / Global

Belt and Road delivers crucial capital

China's Belt and Road initiative provides access to capital for connected emerging markets that have not had the necessary investment grade ratings to tap international bond markets. Infrastructure, the core of Belt and Road funding, is and has been the engine of growth for most economies. But these emerging markets have never had the opportunity to attract offshore investors who require ratings dictated by their corporate policies. Nor do those investors have a high enough risk appetite to venture into uncharted emerging markets.

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11 April 2019 / Global

'Submerging markets' pose global threat

Renewed currency weakness in Argentina and Turkey underlines the risks that emerging markets, or rather 'submerging markets', could pose to the global economic recovery. Fortunately, given their relatively small size, the Argentine and Turkish economies cannot by themselves constitute a significant threat. The same, however, might not be said of Brazil and Mexico. Both these countries appear vulnerable to crisis in the light of the seemingly shaky economic stewardship of their respective new presidents.

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18 March 2019 / Latin America

Brazil on rough road to reform

Last month the Brazilian government presented its 'New Social Security' proposal to Congress. The government says the reforms are necessary to spark economic growth, though critics argue the new system would put excessive strain on the poor. President Jair Bolsonaro is resisting negotiations with congressional leaders on the basis of the traditional tit-for-tat that has long prevailed in Brasília, illustrated by the large presence of non-politicians in cabinet and in the leadership of state-owned enterprises and regulatory agencies.

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21 February 2019 / Asia Pacific

Financing emerging Asia infrastructure

Despite much discussion and effort, private capital is still not playing the role it can or should in financing infrastructure projects in emerging Asia. Increased geopolitical uncertainty and shifts in terms of sources of infrastructure financing, as well as broader trade and political partnerships, are accentuating market sensitivity in the region. In the light of such uncertainty, multilateral institutions such as the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank can bolster public investment, given their ability to lend counter-cyclically and take longer-term exposures.

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12 February 2019 / Latin America

Venezuela's death spiral

Under President Nicolás Maduro, Venezuela has fallen ever further into an economic death spiral. Evidence of this comes from Venezuela's inflation rate, which is running at 139,839% per year. At the same time that Washington declared economic war, Caracas announced it was going to devalue the bolívar in an attempt to allow its value to align with that in the black market. The official bolívar-dollar exchange rate plunged and shot past the black market rate. This realignment carries significant implications.

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25 January 2019 / Asia Pacific,North America,Europe

Trade, China and Brexit: Global Economic Challenges for 2019

A high-level panel discussion on global economic challenges for 2019.

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24 January 2019 / Global

Emerging market trials persist

Last year's thrashing in all emerging market investment classes, with debt, equity and currencies in simultaneous decline for the first time in a decade, prompted reconsideration of allocation rationale into the next decade. Crises in Argentina and Turkey in 2018 were in part a replay of 2013 Federal Reserve-induced 'taper tantrum', as retail foreign investors sold indiscriminately. Contagion may yet spread, but for now index performance will continue to be subdued without the spectre of uncontrolled crashes.

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